Probabilities for the match are Celtic 86%, Dundee Utd 4% and 10% for the draw. The highest % probability for a Celtic win all season.
Dundee Utd’s xPts trend graph below has defeats in red, draws in yellow and wins in green. You can see Dundee Utd’s xPts are trending upwards with their most expected points coming in the game v Ross County in which they drew 1-1.
xPts taken from @srfootball_
In their last match (at home to Motherwell) Dundee Utd lined up with;
Mark Birighitti (1)
Liam Smith (2), Ryan Edwards (12) and Scott McMann (3)
Kieran Freeman (22), Jamie McGrath (18), Dylan Levitt (19), Craig Sibbald (14) and Aziz Behich (16)
Steven Fletcher (9) and Tony Watt (32)
Birighitti, McGrath, Sibbald, Behich and Watt all didn’t start in the previous game against Celtic (which Celtic won 9-0).
Their best for xG per 90 is Steven Fletcher who is 15th in the league on 0.39 with Anaku 28th and Watt 30th on 0.26 and 0.24. Jamie McGrath is their best for xA and is 30th on 0.16 per 90 then next is Anaku (47th) on 0.14.
Ross Graham is their best for accurate passes per 90 at 37 which is 27th in the league.
Dundee Utd are not the most aggressive team with the lowest fouls per game at 10.2.
Although Celtic won convincingly at Tannadice earlier this season it was not the same when looking back to the last two home games against Dundee Utd (last season).
Celtic only lead for 3 minutes over those 2 games – 2 minutes in the first game before Dundee Utd equalised and got themselves a draw and 1 minute in the last game with Abada’s last minute winner.
Despite being at home and despite being against a team Celtic beat 9-0 already this season this is no certainty. A domestic game after a Champions League is always a risk and this should not be underestimated.
Celtic Trends 🍀📈⚽️
Tony@CelticTrends.com
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