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Writer's pictureTony McLaughlin

Preview (Livingston v Celtic)

Updated: Sep 26, 2021

Livingston have played 10 games so far this season and have won 2 of them. However those 2 wins were in the League Cup Group Stages versus Brechin and Cowdenbeath. They have played 5 league games losing 4 of them and drawing 1 of them. Their line up for the last 2 games has been 4-1-4-1 with 10 of the same players. The only change in the Dundee game was 12 Williamson coming in for 14 Bailey.


Their average player positions for their last two games are below.



  • In goals they have 32 Stryjek and he had 37 appearances for them since the start of last season

  • At right back is 2 Nicky Devlin and he has had 68 appearances over the last couple of years and has scored 2 goals

  • At right centre back is 6 Ayo Obileye and they signed him from Queen of the South in the summer. Last season he played 33 times for QOS and scored 9 goals for them.

  • At left centre back is 5 Jack Fitzwater and he has had 37 appearances and 4 goals over the last couple of years for Livingston.

  • At left back is 29 James Penrice who they had on loan from Partick Thistle in 2017. He signed for Livingston on a free transfer this summer.

  • 18 Jason Holt was signed from Rangers at the start of last season and has had 48 appearances and 1 goal.

  • 12 Ben Williamson is on loan from Rangers and he came in for 14 Odin Bailey for the last game. Odin Bailey is on loan from Birmingham.

  • 10 Craig Sibbald has been at Livingston since July 2018 and has 101 appearances and 10 goals.

  • 22 Andrew Shinnie was signed in the summer from Luton.

  • 17 Alan Forrest and brother of our own James has been at Livingston from the start of last season and he has 46 appearances and 13 goals for Livingston. Previous to that he had 246 appearances and 55 goals for Ayr United.

  • 9 Bruce Anderson was signed from Aberdeen in the summer. Last year he had 14 appearances and 2 goals for Hamilton while on loan there.

  • 23 Jack Hamilton is a forward who has come on as a sub in the last two games and he was out on loan last season to Arbroath where he had 15 appearances and 8 goals for them.

  • 7 Keaghan Jacobs is a midfielder who has been at Livingston since January 2017 and has had 101 appearances and 4 goals for them and he has come on as a sub in the last two games also.

On average match ratings their best rated player of the season is Penrice.


Against Hibernian 42% of their attacks came down the right hand side and against Dundee it was 44% compared to 25% and 29% down the left hand side.


Last season Livingston were a very high pressing and direct team with 17.6% of the xG coming from Turnovers and 25% of their actual goals came from Turnovers. Both these stats were the highest in the league. For xG 2nd highest was 14% and 3rd highest was 11% so you can see how their tactics were very consistent throughout the season. Turnovers being when they have won the ball in their opponent's half and then had a shot within less than 4 passes.


They have had a change in style this year and it will be interesting to see how their tactics prevail in this campaign.


Last season our NP xG in our 4 games against Livingston was 1.59, 1.3, 2.05 and 2.42 with 3 of the games being played at Celtic Park. Livingston's NP xG was 0.28, 1,44, 0.5 and 0.6. Match probabilities are; - Celtic 69% - Livingston 10% - A draw 21% Our highest win probability for an away game this season so far.

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Tony@CelticTrends.com

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